Bettingoptimizer

Real-money track record

Real money only — every krona and dollar I put down, graded against results. No simulations, nothing cherry-picked.

−$10
Realized profit
70 bets settled · ≈ −93 kr
$2
At risk
1 open bet
−5.1%
Return on investment
on $190 settled
+0.7%
Closing-line value
the only real yardstick

Sportsbook

kr · placed by hand
+97 kr
P&L
0 kr
At risk
6–2
W–L
−3.4%
CLV
IK Sirius vs Malmo FF
Malmo FF · Coolbet
@ 3.90
Won
+14 kr
IK Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna
Draw · Coolbet
@ 5.60
Won
+23 kr
Västerås SK vs Djurgardens IF
Västerås SK · Coolbet
@ 4.40
Won
+17 kr
Halmstads BK vs IK Sirius
Halmstads BK · Coolbet
@ 8.10
Lost
−5 kr
AIK vs Örgryte IS
Örgryte IS · Coolbet
@ 6.60
Won
+28 kr
IK Sirius vs IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg · Betsson
@ 6.20
Lost
−5 kr
Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg · Coolbet
@ 4.55
Won
+18 kr
Degerfors IF vs Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF · Coolbet
@ 1.85
Won
+7 kr

Polymarket

USD · live bot
−$20
P&L
$2.43
At risk
24–38
W–L
+1.2%
CLV
SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.08
Open
$2.43
Villarreal CF vs Real Betis Balompié · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.50
Lost
−$3
San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids SC · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.56
Lost
−$3
Inter Miami CF vs Toronto FC · O/U 3.5
under
@ 2.63
Won
+$5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs Qingdao Hainiu FC · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.13
Lost
−$3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Houston Dynamo · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.50
Lost
−$3
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City SC · O/U 3.5
over
@ 2.38
Lost
−$3
Columbus Crew vs CF Montréal · O/U 2.5
under
@ 2.44
Lost
−$4
⚖️

Judged by CLV, not by profit

Closing-line value — beating the price the market settles at — is the only real proof of edge over a bookmaker or the Polymarket crowd. Early P&L is mostly luck; CLV over 50+ bets is the truth. So far it sits at +0.7% across 70 settled bets. Judged honestly, in public.